In an increasingly complex world, decision analysis has a major role to play in helping decision-makers to gain insights into the problems they face. This work covers both the psychological problems that are associated with unaided managerial decision making and the decision analysis methods designed to overcome them.

This title helps managers move beyond the idea that the future of business will resemble the past and allows them to use scenarios to imagine multiple perspectives.

Offers coverage of the problems associated with unaided managerial decision making and the methods designed to overcome them. This book reflects developments such as 'fast and frugal heuristics' and structured risk management .

Judgement has been studied for many years by researchers interested in human decision-making and forecasting. Following on from their previous book, Judgemental Forecasting , the authors bring together a collection of papers focusing on forecasting.

Using a combination of psychological theory, thought problems and quotations from contemporary media, the author demonstrates how high-profile strategic blunders occur and how to prevent your own organization from making similar mistakes through good decision making.